Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

158.02 – 138.39

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

163 – 265

Prediction missed · off by 65.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 257.5 ±14.5

7068Mechanical Masterminds

Season APEX 81Event APEX 36.94Rank 9Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 92

5278Los Clasicos

Season APEX 53.5Event APEX 29.68Rank 50Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91

4778Stormbots

Season APEX 123Event APEX 91.4Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 360 ±16.4

8234Panthinators

Season APEX 103Event APEX 24.08Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2530Inconceivable

Season APEX 184.6Event APEX 89.88Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3454Z Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 72.4Event APEX 24.43Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7068, 5278, 4778

/ 100 compat

Projected

158 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 7068, 5278, 4778

Auto

28.3 19%

Teleop

81.6 55%

Endgame

38.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8234, 2530, 3454

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.4 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 8234, 2530, 3454

Auto

21.4 16%

Teleop

84.2 61%

Endgame

32.0 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score158pts

Blue projected score138.4pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 19.6
Score range: 114–182
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 428 vs event baseline 135.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

257.5Season APEX360

28.3Auto21.4

81.6Teleop84.2

38.9Endgame32

66Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	46
teleop	67	156
endgame	48	63
foul	0	0
total	163	265

Result

Final score

163 – 265

Prediction missed · off by 65.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.