Qualification · Qualification 55
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
65.88 – 70.19
49%51%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
55 – 73
Prediction correct · off by 6.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 170.6 ±20
Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 26.78Rank 44Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94
4207PyroBotics
Provisional
Season APEX 60.6Event APEX 27.2Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
4225RoboCats
Provisional
Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 11.9Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 220.7 ±18.2
Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 16.88Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91
3407Wild Cards
Provisional
Season APEX 64.7Event APEX 32.64Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 20.67Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8422, 4207, 4225
36
/ 100 compatProjected
65.9 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 8422, 4207, 4225
Auto
10.1 15%
Teleop
25.4 39%
Endgame
30.1 46%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2531, 3407, 5929
42
/ 100 compatProjected
70.2 pts
~1.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 2531, 3407, 5929
Auto
21.8 33%
Teleop
30.4 46%
Endgame
14.6 22%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.53
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score65.9pts
Blue projected score70.2pts
Red win probability49%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 40%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -4.3
- Score range
- 41–95
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
170.6Season APEX220.7
10.1Auto21.8
25.4Teleop30.4
30.1Endgame14.6
58Consistency17
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 18 |
| teleop | 16 | 42 |
| endgame | 25 | 13 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 55 | 73 |
Result
Final score
55 – 73
Prediction correct · off by 6.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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