Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

153.11 – 245.98

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

89 – 291

Prediction correct · off by 54.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 218 ±14.5

7068Mechanical Masterminds

Season APEX 81Event APEX 47.27Rank 9Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 92

7530Raiders of the Lost Spark

Season APEX 67.3Event APEX 64.16Rank 32Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4536MinuteBots

Season APEX 69.7Event APEX 41.68Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 430.6 ±15.9

5143Raw Steel

Provisional

Season APEX 54.3Event APEX -2.53Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

4778Stormbots

Season APEX 123Event APEX 82.84Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4174Mustang Robotics

Season APEX 253.3Event APEX 165.67Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7068, 7530, 4536

/ 100 compat

Projected

153.1 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 7068, 7530, 4536

Auto

54.2 33%

Teleop

72.3 45%

Endgame

35.3 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5143, 4778, 4174

/ 100 compat

Projected

246 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 5143, 4778, 4174

Auto

32.0 13%

Teleop

162.7 65%

Endgame

56.3 22%

Strengths

· 4174 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.97 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score153.1pts

Blue projected score246pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -92.9
Score range: 129–270
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 380 vs event baseline 133.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

218Season APEX430.6

54.2Auto32

72.3Teleop162.7

35.3Endgame56.3

26Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	39
teleop	25	145
endgame	16	47
foul	5	60
total	89	291

Result

Final score

89 – 291

Prediction correct · off by 54.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.