Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

61.56 – 56.64

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

168 – 126

Prediction correct · off by 87.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 244 ±17.7

3454Z Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 72.4Event APEX 10.5Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

4009DNA Robotics

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 40.18Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5929Raider Robotics

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 10.88Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 257.7 ±13.9

5278Los Clasicos

Season APEX 53.5Event APEX 19.19Rank 50Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91

3880Tiki Techs

Season APEX 132.6Event APEX 17.79Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2508Armada

Season APEX 71.6Event APEX 19.66Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3454, 4009, 5929

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.6 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 3454, 4009, 5929

Auto

3.3 5%

Teleop

22.0 33%

Endgame

40.9 62%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5278, 3880, 2508

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.6 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 5278, 3880, 2508

Auto

15.5 29%

Teleop

27.2 51%

Endgame

10.4 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.57 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score61.6pts

Blue projected score56.6pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 4.9
Score range: 33–86
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 294 vs event baseline 133.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

244Season APEX257.7

3.3Auto15.5

22Teleop27.2

40.9Endgame10.4

46Consistency90

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	34
teleop	66	62
endgame	24	30
foul	50	0
total	168	126

Result

Final score

168 – 126

Prediction correct · off by 87.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.