Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

82.16 – 115.8

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

131 – 166

Prediction correct · off by 49.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 210.6 ±19.3

4225RoboCats

Provisional

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 8.73Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2667Knights of the Valley

Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 35.98Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

4215TRIBOTS

Season APEX 75.8Event APEX 37.45Rank 18Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 266.7 ±17.2

3038Inter-district Computers and Engineering

Provisional

Season APEX 55.4Event APEX 29.51Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2470Team BJORG

Season APEX 103.6Event APEX 32.9Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2509Tigerbots

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 53.39Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4225, 2667, 4215

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.2 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 4225, 2667, 4215

Auto

14.7 18%

Teleop

44.8 53%

Endgame

24.5 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3038, 2470, 2509

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.8 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 3038, 2470, 2509

Auto

25.5 24%

Teleop

56.1 53%

Endgame

23.3 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score82.2pts

Blue projected score115.8pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -33.6
Score range: 58–140
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 297 vs event baseline 134.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

210.6Season APEX266.7

14.7Auto25.5

44.8Teleop56.1

24.5Endgame23.3

85Consistency102

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	26
teleop	61	66
endgame	43	69
foul	0	5
total	131	166

Result

Final score

131 – 166

Prediction correct · off by 49.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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