Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.9 – 76.82

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 46.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 271.7 ±17.3

4230TopperBots

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 27.44Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

4277Thingamajiggers

Provisional

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 16.24Rank 45Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

3880Tiki Techs

Season APEX 132.6Event APEX 19.22Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 314.9 ±16.4

2530Inconceivable

Season APEX 184.6Event APEX 61.02Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2508Armada

Season APEX 71.6Event APEX 15.98Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4225RoboCats

Provisional

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX -0.18Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4230, 4277, 3880

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.9 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 4230, 4277, 3880

Auto

33.5 55%

Teleop

31.5 52%

Endgame

-4.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2530, 2508, 4225

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.8 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 2530, 2508, 4225

Auto

-4.1 0%

Teleop

65.0 83%

Endgame

17.7 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score62.9pts

Blue projected score76.8pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -13.9
Score range: 40–100
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 233 vs event baseline 129.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

271.7Season APEX314.9

33.5Auto-4.1

31.5Teleop65

-4Endgame17.7

72Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	25
teleop	35	77
endgame	14	60
foul	0	5
total	66	167

Result

Final score

66 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 46.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.