Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 28.26

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

68 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 94.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 165 ±22.5

4277Thingamajiggers

Provisional

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX -1.79Rank 45Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

4664Butler Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 41.5Event APEX -25Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

4207PyroBotics

Provisional

Season APEX 60.6Event APEX 23.53Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 230.9 ±17.7

3871THE Trojan Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 7.44Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

7068Mechanical Masterminds

Season APEX 81Event APEX 30.73Rank 9Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 92

4009DNA Robotics

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX -9.91Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4277, 4664, 4207

/ 100 compat

Projected

-3.3 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 4277, 4664, 4207

Auto

6.2 0%

Teleop

-11.9 100%

Endgame

0.3 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3871, 7068, 4009

/ 100 compat

Projected

28.3 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 3871, 7068, 4009

Auto

20.6 56%

Teleop

-16.8 0%

Endgame

33.1 90%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score-3.3pts

Blue projected score28.3pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -28.3
Score range: -23–51
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 218 vs event baseline 126.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

165Season APEX230.9

6.2Auto20.6

-11.9Teleop-16.8

0.3Endgame33.1

148Consistency146

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	19
teleop	22	73
endgame	14	58
foul	15	0
total	68	150

Result

Final score

68 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 94.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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