Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

99.09 – 198.13

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

218 – 205

Prediction missed · off by 62.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 390.7 ±13.5

3297Full Metal Jackets

Season APEX 211.6Event APEX 89.93Rank 4Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8234Panthinators

Season APEX 103Event APEX -7.19Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2667Knights of the Valley

Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 16.35Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 395.2 ±16.4

3926MPArors

Season APEX 73.5Event APEX 37.41Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2491NoMythic

Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 122.78Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4207PyroBotics

Provisional

Season APEX 60.6Event APEX 37.94Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3297, 8234, 2667

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.1 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 3297, 8234, 2667

Auto

25.4 27%

Teleop

50.1 53%

Endgame

18.9 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3926, 2491, 4207

/ 100 compat

Projected

198.1 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 3926, 2491, 4207

Auto

31.5 16%

Teleop

111.4 56%

Endgame

57.5 29%

Strengths

· 2491 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.99 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score99.1pts

Blue projected score198.1pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -99
Score range: 77–220
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 423 vs event baseline 120.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

390.7Season APEX395.2

25.4Auto31.5

50.1Teleop111.4

18.9Endgame57.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	28
teleop	113	93
endgame	48	79
foul	0	5
total	218	205

Result

Final score

218 – 205

Prediction missed · off by 62.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.