Qualification · Qualification 18
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
97.96 – 146.65
35%65%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
47 – 113
Prediction correct · off by 42.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 264.6 ±17.3
4229Magnetech
Provisional
Season APEX 59.9Event APEX 78.15Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Season APEX 72.1Event APEX -9.44Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Season APEX 132.6Event APEX 29.25Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 207.2 ±17.7
Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 80.73Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
4664Butler Bots
Provisional
Season APEX 41.5Event APEX -6.85Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 72.77Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4229, 5929, 3880
58
/ 100 compatProjected
98 pts
~1.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 4229, 5929, 3880
Auto
35.8 36%
Teleop
44.1 44%
Endgame
19.5 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5690, 4664, 4230
76
/ 100 compatProjected
146.7 pts
~1.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 5690, 4664, 4230
Auto
39.5 27%
Teleop
75.6 52%
Endgame
30.1 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.17 · Blue 1.87
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score98pts
Blue projected score146.7pts
Red win probability35%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -48.7
- Score range
- 75–170
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
264.6Season APEX207.2
35.8Auto39.5
44.1Teleop75.6
19.5Endgame30.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 24 |
| teleop | 12 | 42 |
| endgame | 12 | 47 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 47 | 113 |
Result
Final score
47 – 113
Prediction correct · off by 42.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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