Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

182.42 – 0.76

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

196 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 71.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 350 ±16.4

4238Resistance Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 33.56Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

5348Charger Robotics

Season APEX 173.4Event APEX 66.77Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7578Quantum Mechanics

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 82.09Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 208.7 ±19.3

7541Maple River

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 32.04Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

2538The Plaid Pillagers

Provisional

Season APEX 53.9Event APEX -18.52Rank 49Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

8188Grand Force

Season APEX 77.6Event APEX -12.76Rank 47Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4238, 5348, 7578

/ 100 compat

Projected

182.4 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 4238, 5348, 7578

Auto

28.4 16%

Teleop

116.2 64%

Endgame

37.0 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7541, 2538, 8188

/ 100 compat

Projected

0.8 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 7541, 2538, 8188

Auto

28.0 100%

Teleop

-9.6 0%

Endgame

-18.3 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score182.4pts

Blue projected score0.8pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 181.7
Score range: -29–212
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 326 vs event baseline 168.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

350Season APEX208.7

28.4Auto28

116.2Teleop-9.6

37Endgame-18.3

44Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	36
teleop	108	65
endgame	47	24
foul	0	5
total	196	130

Result

Final score

196 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 71.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.