Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

127.43 – 194.3

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

87 – 329

Prediction correct · off by 87.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 352.5 ±16.4

8372HCN Storm

Provisional

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX -3.93Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

5913Patriotics

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 135.51Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5232Talons

Season APEX 39.4Event APEX -4.15Rank 50Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 336.2 ±14.5

8255Robodogs

Season APEX 149.8Event APEX 118.05Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

4687Spartobots

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 77.52Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4480UC-Botics

Season APEX 86Event APEX -1.27Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8372, 5913, 5232

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.4 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 8372, 5913, 5232

Auto

14.0 11%

Teleop

81.4 64%

Endgame

31.9 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8255, 4687, 4480

/ 100 compat

Projected

194.3 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 8255, 4687, 4480

Auto

35.7 19%

Teleop

102.3 56%

Endgame

45.4 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.14 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score127.4pts

Blue projected score194.3pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -66.9
Score range: 97–224
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 416 vs event baseline 168.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

352.5Season APEX336.2

14Auto35.7

81.4Teleop102.3

31.9Endgame45.4

24Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	57
teleop	73	168
endgame	0	89
foul	0	15
total	87	329

Result

Final score

87 – 329

Prediction correct · off by 87.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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