Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

295.43 – 213.95

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

369 – 251

Prediction correct · off by 55.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 584.7 ±11.7

3276TOOLCATS

Season APEX 231Event APEX 129.69Rank 8Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4728ROCORI Robotics

Season APEX 236.2Event APEX 126.44Rank 1Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2977Sir LancerBots

Season APEX 117.5Event APEX 39.3Rank 20Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 466.9 ±13.5

7677Bodacious Bulldogs

Season APEX 72.4Event APEX 37.35Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

7028Binary Battalion

Season APEX 289.5Event APEX 138.89Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8516Wired Up

Season APEX 105Event APEX 37.71Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3276, 4728, 2977

/ 100 compat

Projected

295.4 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 3276, 4728, 2977

Auto

45.4 16%

Teleop

193.2 67%

Endgame

51.9 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7677, 7028, 8516

/ 100 compat

Projected

214 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7677, 7028, 8516

Auto

41.0 19%

Teleop

111.5 52%

Endgame

61.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.13 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score295.4pts

Blue projected score214pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 81.5
Score range: 184–325
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 620 vs event baseline 167.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

584.7Season APEX466.9

45.4Auto41

193.2Teleop111.5

51.9Endgame61.5

2Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	76
teleop	209	126
endgame	97	34
foul	25	15
total	369	251

Result

Final score

369 – 251

Prediction correct · off by 55.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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