Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

88.54 – 88.54

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

308 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 112.5 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 485.1 ±12.4

6045Sabre Robotics

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX -Rank 2Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6628KMS BOTKICKERS

Season APEX 63.2Event APEX -Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

5348Charger Robotics

Season APEX 173.4Event APEX -Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 254.2 ±16.8

3018Nordic Storm

Season APEX 100Event APEX -Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

7038Totino-Grace Pizza Pi's

Season APEX 68.2Event APEX -Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 86

4480UC-Botics

Season APEX 86Event APEX -Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6045, 6628, 5348

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.5 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 6045, 6628, 5348

Auto

26.6 30%

Teleop

44.3 50%

Endgame

17.7 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3018, 7038, 4480

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.5 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 3018, 7038, 4480

Auto

26.6 30%

Teleop

44.3 50%

Endgame

17.7 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score88.5pts

Blue projected score88.5pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 57–121
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 391 vs event baseline 177.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

485.1Season APEX254.2

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	24
teleop	172	6
endgame	121	53
foul	5	0
total	308	83

Result

Final score

308 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 112.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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