Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

241.54 – 173.95

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

424 – 213

Prediction correct · off by 110.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 552.9 ±11

4728ROCORI Robotics

Season APEX 236.2Event APEX 103.63Rank 1Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7048Red River Rage

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 24.42Rank 32Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5913Patriotics

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 113.49Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 389.6 ±14.5

4511Power Amplified

Season APEX 116.2Event APEX 53.26Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

4607C.I.S.

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 88.87Rank 13Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7038Totino-Grace Pizza Pi's

Season APEX 68.2Event APEX 31.82Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 86

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4728, 7048, 5913

/ 100 compat

Projected

241.5 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 4728, 7048, 5913

Auto

46.1 19%

Teleop

155.6 65%

Endgame

36.3 15%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4511, 4607, 7038

/ 100 compat

Projected

174 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 4511, 4607, 7038

Auto

38.4 22%

Teleop

93.9 55%

Endgame

39.0 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score241.5pts

Blue projected score174pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 67.6
Score range: 144–272
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 637 vs event baseline 164.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

552.9Season APEX389.6

46.1Auto38.4

155.6Teleop93.9

36.3Endgame39

23Consistency56

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	54
teleop	231	101
endgame	156	53
foul	15	5
total	424	213

Result

Final score

424 – 213

Prediction correct · off by 110.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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