Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

63.33 – 68.08

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

46 – 191

Prediction correct · off by 70.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 187.1 ±17.7

10173Minot Syber-Sentinels

Season APEX 52Event APEX 31.1Rank 45Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

4632Monti-Pythons

Provisional

Season APEX 95.7Event APEX 43.35Rank 26Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

5232Talons

Season APEX 39.4Event APEX -11.12Rank 50Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 370.3 ±16.3

8372HCN Storm

Provisional

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX -35.26Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

4607C.I.S.

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 70.28Rank 13Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4226Huskies

Season APEX 89.4Event APEX 33.06Rank 27Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10173, 4632, 5232

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.3 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 10173, 4632, 5232

Auto

8.2 12%

Teleop

32.0 49%

Endgame

25.5 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8372, 4607, 4226

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.1 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 8372, 4607, 4226

Auto

16.0 23%

Teleop

36.1 51%

Endgame

19.0 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score63.3pts

Blue projected score68.1pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -4.7
Score range: 33–98
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 237 vs event baseline 164.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

187.1Season APEX370.3

8.2Auto16

32Teleop36.1

25.5Endgame19

84Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	28
teleop	8	122
endgame	23	41
foul	0	0
total	46	191

Result

Final score

46 – 191

Prediction correct · off by 70.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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