Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

175.84 – 157.76

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

189 – 199

Prediction missed · off by 27.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 406.4 ±14.1

3026Orange Crush Robotics

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 60.01Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

4480UC-Botics

Season APEX 86Event APEX 2.68Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

4728ROCORI Robotics

Season APEX 236.2Event APEX 113.15Rank 1Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 321.3 ±15.8

2470Team BJORG

Season APEX 103.6Event APEX 46.53Rank 16Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2987Rogue Robotics

Season APEX 117.7Event APEX 32.62Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3018Nordic Storm

Season APEX 100Event APEX 78.61Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3026, 4480, 4728

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.8 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 3026, 4480, 4728

Auto

26.0 16%

Teleop

78.5 49%

Endgame

55.0 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2470, 2987, 3018

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.8 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 2470, 2987, 3018

Auto

38.6 24%

Teleop

79.9 51%

Endgame

39.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.79 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score175.8pts

Blue projected score157.8pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 18.1
Score range: 129–205
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 388 vs event baseline 162.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

406.4Season APEX321.3

26Auto38.6

78.5Teleop79.9

55Endgame39.3

22Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	20
teleop	96	128
endgame	50	51
foul	5	0
total	189	199

Result

Final score

189 – 199

Prediction missed · off by 27.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.