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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
Minnesota Granite City Regional

Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

298.26 – 171.45

83%17%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

220 – 174

Prediction correct · off by 40.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 403.8 ±13.9
2503Warrior Robotics
B
Season APEX 136.5Event APEX 137.16Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
2977Sir LancerBots
C
Season APEX 117.5Event APEX 60.04Rank 20Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95
8255Robodogs
B
Season APEX 149.8Event APEX 101.06Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 344.6 ±13.5
4687Spartobots
C
Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 45.08Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
5348Charger Robotics
B
Season APEX 173.4Event APEX 70.46Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2512Duluth East Daredevils
D
Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 55.91Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2503, 2977, 8255
82
/ 100 compat
Projected
298.3 pts
~2.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 2503, 2977, 8255
Auto
37.5 13%
Teleop
167.5 56%
Endgame
94.4 32%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4687, 5348, 2512
56
/ 100 compat
Projected
171.5 pts
~1.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 4687, 5348, 2512
Auto
5.8 3%
Teleop
116.7 70%
Endgame
43.5 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.34 · Blue 1.01
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score298.3pts
Blue projected score171.5pts
Red win probability83%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 64%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
126.8
Score range
141–328
Upset likelihood
17%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 394 vs event baseline 164.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

403.8Season APEX344.6
37.5Auto5.8
167.5Teleop116.7
94.4Endgame43.5
69Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto2023
teleop108112
endgame9239
foul00
total220174

Result

Final score

220 – 174

Prediction correct · off by 40.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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