Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

175.32 – 218.06

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

106 – 237

Prediction correct · off by 44.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 407.1 ±19.3

3276TOOLCATS

Season APEX 231Event APEX 131.03Rank 8Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4238Resistance Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 36.01Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

6244Light SaBres

Provisional

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 8.28Rank 28Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 401.9 ±14.1

6628KMS BOTKICKERS

Season APEX 63.2Event APEX 44.61Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

4511Power Amplified

Season APEX 116.2Event APEX 41.71Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

2883F.R.E.D (FIRST Robotics Engineering and Design)

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 131.74Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3276, 4238, 6244

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.3 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 3276, 4238, 6244

Auto

44.4 27%

Teleop

108.5 65%

Endgame

14.6 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6628, 4511, 2883

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.1 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 6628, 4511, 2883

Auto

24.0 12%

Teleop

135.8 66%

Endgame

47.2 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score175.3pts

Blue projected score218.1pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -42.7
Score range: 145–248
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 343 vs event baseline 164.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

407.1Season APEX401.9

44.4Auto24

108.5Teleop135.8

14.6Endgame47.2

104Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	38
teleop	89	134
endgame	6	65
foul	0	0
total	106	237

Result

Final score

106 – 237

Prediction correct · off by 44.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.