Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

139.72 – 252.78

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

195 – 209

Prediction correct · off by 49.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 391.1 ±17.3

4607C.I.S.

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 68.76Rank 13Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4182Viking Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 115.1Event APEX 23.29Rank 24Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2512Duluth East Daredevils

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 47.67Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 407.1 ±13.5

3026Orange Crush Robotics

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 66.43Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

4687Spartobots

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 42.5Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2883F.R.E.D (FIRST Robotics Engineering and Design)

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 143.85Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4607, 4182, 2512

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.7 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 4607, 4182, 2512

Auto

21.0 16%

Teleop

59.5 45%

Endgame

51.7 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3026, 4687, 2883

/ 100 compat

Projected

252.8 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 3026, 4687, 2883

Auto

17.8 7%

Teleop

163.7 65%

Endgame

72.2 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.09 · Blue 2.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score139.7pts

Blue projected score252.8pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -113.1
Score range: 110–283
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 404 vs event baseline 166.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

391.1Season APEX407.1

21Auto17.8

59.5Teleop163.7

51.7Endgame72.2

55Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	23
teleop	123	126
endgame	51	45
foul	0	15
total	195	209

Result

Final score

195 – 209

Prediction correct · off by 49.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.