Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

196.07 – 129.89

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

282 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 56.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 322.1 ±17.2

876Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 167.8Event APEX 175.08Rank 10Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2538The Plaid Pillagers

Provisional

Season APEX 53.9Event APEX -0.25Rank 49Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

4687Spartobots

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 21.24Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281 ±19.3

3018Nordic Storm

Season APEX 100Event APEX 74.12Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6244Light SaBres

Provisional

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX -4.32Rank 28Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

3026Orange Crush Robotics

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 60.09Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 876, 2538, 4687

/ 100 compat

Projected

196.1 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 876, 2538, 4687

Auto

48.6 25%

Teleop

129.2 67%

Endgame

15.6 8%

Strengths

· 876 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3018, 6244, 3026

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.9 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 3018, 6244, 3026

Auto

9.6 7%

Teleop

74.8 55%

Endgame

50.7 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.04 · Blue 1.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score196.1pts

Blue projected score129.9pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 66.2
Score range: 100–226
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 439 vs event baseline 167.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

322.1Season APEX281

48.6Auto9.6

129.2Teleop74.8

15.6Endgame50.7

147Consistency103

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	20
teleop	169	78
endgame	63	59
foul	0	0
total	282	157

Result

Final score

282 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 56.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.