Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

262.08 – 185.1

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

409 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 80.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 630.7 ±11.7

7028Binary Battalion

Season APEX 289.5Event APEX 84.62Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5348Charger Robotics

Season APEX 173.4Event APEX 54.28Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

876Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 167.8Event APEX 123.18Rank 10Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 283.6 ±13.9

7578Quantum Mechanics

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 69.45Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

5837Unity4Tech

Season APEX 107Event APEX 56.99Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

7048Red River Rage

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 58.66Rank 32Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7028, 5348, 876

/ 100 compat

Projected

262.1 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7028, 5348, 876

Auto

30.6 12%

Teleop

156.3 60%

Endgame

72.9 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7578, 5837, 7048

/ 100 compat

Projected

185.1 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7578, 5837, 7048

Auto

21.9 12%

Teleop

128.5 71%

Endgame

30.6 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.14 · Blue 1.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score262.1pts

Blue projected score185.1pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 77
Score range: 155–292
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 580 vs event baseline 164.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

630.7Season APEX283.6

30.6Auto21.9

156.3Teleop128.5

72.9Endgame30.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	82	50
teleop	229	80
endgame	98	41
foul	0	0
total	409	171

Result

Final score

409 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 80.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.