Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

118.3 – 171.1

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

52 – 77

Prediction correct · off by 80.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 230.4 ±19.8

4360Spudnik

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 88.01Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

8887West Central Area

Provisional

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 25.32Rank 37Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2538The Plaid Pillagers

Provisional

Season APEX 53.9Event APEX 4.97Rank 49Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 283.3 ±18.2

10173Minot Syber-Sentinels

Season APEX 52Event APEX 30.77Rank 45Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

4182Viking Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 115.1Event APEX 69.6Rank 24Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

4511Power Amplified

Season APEX 116.2Event APEX 70.73Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4360, 8887, 2538

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.3 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 4360, 8887, 2538

Auto

21.0 18%

Teleop

73.2 63%

Endgame

21.3 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10173, 4182, 4511

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.1 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 10173, 4182, 4511

Auto

27.1 17%

Teleop

88.8 55%

Endgame

44.6 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score118.3pts

Blue projected score171.1pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -52.8
Score range: 87–202
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 129 vs event baseline 169.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

230.4Season APEX283.3

21Auto27.1

73.2Teleop88.8

21.3Endgame44.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	23
teleop	27	28
endgame	11	26
foul	0	0
total	52	77

Result

Final score

52 – 77

Prediction correct · off by 80.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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