Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

80.93 – 133.83

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

86 – 364

Prediction correct · off by 117.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 237.4 ±15.8

4226Huskies

Season APEX 89.4Event APEX 16.66Rank 27Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2512Duluth East Daredevils

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 27.69Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

7541Maple River

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 36.58Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 590.9 ±11.7

8516Wired Up

Season APEX 105Event APEX -3.39Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6045Sabre Robotics

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 98.93Rank 2Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5913Patriotics

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 38.29Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4226, 2512, 7541

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.9 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 4226, 2512, 7541

Auto

18.3 23%

Teleop

51.8 65%

Endgame

9.7 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8516, 6045, 5913

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.8 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 8516, 6045, 5913

Auto

8.9 7%

Teleop

71.9 55%

Endgame

50.9 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score80.9pts

Blue projected score133.8pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -52.9
Score range: 51–164
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 450 vs event baseline 165.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

237.4Season APEX590.9

18.3Auto8.9

51.8Teleop71.9

9.7Endgame50.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	61
teleop	57	202
endgame	12	101
foul	0	0
total	86	364

Result

Final score

86 – 364

Prediction correct · off by 117.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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