Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

355.45 – 298.16

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

412 – 323

Prediction correct · off by 40.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 641.6 ±11.7

2470Team BJORG

Season APEX 103.6Event APEX 52.13Rank 16Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6045Sabre Robotics

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 171.45Rank 2Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7028Binary Battalion

Season APEX 289.5Event APEX 131.87Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 552.9 ±11

7048Red River Rage

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 42.07Rank 32Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4728ROCORI Robotics

Season APEX 236.2Event APEX 127.85Rank 1Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5913Patriotics

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 128.24Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2470, 6045, 7028

/ 100 compat

Projected

355.5 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 2470, 6045, 7028

Auto

71.7 21%

Teleop

197.9 57%

Endgame

78.2 22%

Strengths

· 6045 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7048, 4728, 5913

/ 100 compat

Projected

298.2 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 7048, 4728, 5913

Auto

38.5 13%

Teleop

162.4 56%

Endgame

87.5 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.94 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score355.5pts

Blue projected score298.2pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 57.3
Score range: 265–388
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 735 vs event baseline 181.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

641.6Season APEX552.9

71.7Auto38.5

197.9Teleop162.4

78.2Endgame87.5

13Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	113	79
teleop	226	133
endgame	48	106
foul	25	5
total	412	323

Result

Final score

412 – 323

Prediction correct · off by 40.7 pts

Match videos

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