Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

361.42 – 308.14

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

317 – 232

Prediction correct · off by 60.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 641.6 ±11.7

2470Team BJORG

Season APEX 103.6Event APEX 54.04Rank 16Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6045Sabre Robotics

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 173.31Rank 2Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7028Binary Battalion

Season APEX 289.5Event APEX 134.07Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 552.9 ±11

7048Red River Rage

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 45.82Rank 32Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4728ROCORI Robotics

Season APEX 236.2Event APEX 130.99Rank 1Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5913Patriotics

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 131.33Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2470, 6045, 7028

/ 100 compat

Projected

361.4 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 2470, 6045, 7028

Auto

68.3 19%

Teleop

199.5 57%

Endgame

84.8 24%

Strengths

· 6045 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7048, 4728, 5913

/ 100 compat

Projected

308.1 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 7048, 4728, 5913

Auto

39.9 13%

Teleop

163.3 55%

Endgame

93.7 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.92 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score361.4pts

Blue projected score308.1pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 53.3
Score range: 275–394
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 549 vs event baseline 180.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

641.6Season APEX552.9

68.3Auto39.9

199.5Teleop163.3

84.8Endgame93.7

9Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	92	30
teleop	188	156
endgame	37	46
foul	0	0
total	317	232

Result

Final score

317 – 232

Prediction correct · off by 60.3 pts

Match videos

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