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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
Lake Superior Regional

Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

180.37 – 179.81

50%50%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

147 – 193

Prediction missed · off by 23.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 640.5 ±10.4
3630Stampede
B
Season APEX 153.6Event APEX 27.59Rank 22Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
3297Full Metal Jackets
B
Season APEX 211.6Event APEX 72.54Rank 2Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2847The MegaHertz
A
Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 80.24Rank 3Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 485.5 ±11.7
3082Chicken Bot Pie
B
Season APEX 139Event APEX 37.19Rank 28Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2503Warrior Robotics
B
Season APEX 136.5Event APEX 79.36Rank 8Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
2846FireBears
B
Season APEX 210Event APEX 63.26Rank 5Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3630, 3297, 2847
77
/ 100 compat
Projected
180.4 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 3630, 3297, 2847
Auto
30.4 18%
Teleop
115.2 66%
Endgame
27.8 16%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3082, 2503, 2846
85
/ 100 compat
Projected
179.8 pts
~1.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 3082, 2503, 2846
Auto
35.6 20%
Teleop
92.6 52%
Endgame
51.5 29%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.56
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score180.4pts
Blue projected score179.8pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
0.6
Score range
159–201
Upset likelihood
50%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 340 vs event baseline 118.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

640.5Season APEX485.5
30.4Auto35.6
115.2Teleop92.6
27.8Endgame51.5
27Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto2341
teleop104118
endgame1534
foul50
total147193

Result

Final score

147 – 193

Prediction missed · off by 23.3 pts

Match videos

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