Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
242.43 – 122.34
82%18%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
304 – 84
Prediction correct · off by 50 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 433 ±12.4
Season APEX 43.1Event APEX 18.03Rank 36Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 83
Season APEX 216.5Event APEX 142.78Rank 1Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 173.4Event APEX 81.62Rank 4Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 243.4 ±15.1
Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 16.75Rank 19Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 86.6Event APEX 74.34Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 80
Season APEX 95.4Event APEX 31.25Rank 20Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4741, 3100, 5348
81
/ 100 compatProjected
242.4 pts
~2.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 4741, 3100, 5348
Auto
40.9 17%
Teleop
136.3 58%
Endgame
59.5 25%
Strengths
- · 3100 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7849, 7797, 2181
64
/ 100 compatProjected
122.3 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 7849, 7797, 2181
Auto
27.8 23%
Teleop
49.9 42%
Endgame
41.7 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.11 · Blue 0.81
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score242.4pts
Blue projected score122.3pts
Red win probability82%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 120.1
- Score range
- 101–263
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
433Season APEX243.4
40.9Auto27.8
136.3Teleop49.9
59.5Endgame41.7
19Consistency58
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 58 | 16 |
| teleop | 189 | 50 |
| endgame | 57 | 13 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 304 | 84 |
Result
Final score
304 – 84
Prediction correct · off by 50 pts
Match videos
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