Qualification · Qualification 74

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

140.67 – 86.67

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

170 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 20.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 213 ±18.5

11223The Whistlepunks

Season APEX 74.4Event APEX 45.76Rank 11Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 79

4656Rock Solid Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 52Event APEX 27.42Rank 30Record 4-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

7797RipSaw Robotics

Season APEX 86.6Event APEX 67.49Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 258.6 ±14.5

2823The Automatons

Season APEX 115.4Event APEX 47.47Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4166Robostang

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 15.43Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3883Data Bits

Season APEX 91.8Event APEX 23.77Rank 32Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11223, 4656, 7797

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.7 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 11223, 4656, 7797

Auto

38.8 29%

Teleop

50.8 38%

Endgame

44.4 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 2823, 4166, 3883

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.7 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 2823, 4166, 3883

Auto

22.5 26%

Teleop

31.5 37%

Endgame

31.3 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.83 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score140.7pts

Blue projected score86.7pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54
Score range: 66–162
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 269 vs event baseline 115.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

213Season APEX258.6

38.8Auto22.5

50.8Teleop31.5

44.4Endgame31.3

103Consistency84

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	30
teleop	80	56
endgame	42	13
foul	0	0
total	170	99

Result

Final score

170 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 20.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.