Qualification · Qualification 73
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
26.99 – 98.36
29%71%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
85 – 129
Prediction correct · off by 44.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 238.3 ±14.5
Season APEX 79.7Event APEX -6.66Rank 42Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 115.5Event APEX 21.92Rank 21Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43.1Event APEX 11.73Rank 36Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 83
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 294.4 ±12.8
Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 54.81Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 153.6Event APEX 23.66Rank 22Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 19.89Rank 14Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2526, 4624, 4741
14
/ 100 compatProjected
27 pts
~0.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 2526, 4624, 4741
Auto
14.1 75%
Teleop
3.6 19%
Endgame
1.1 6%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5690, 3630, 8422
57
/ 100 compatProjected
98.4 pts
~1.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 5690, 3630, 8422
Auto
25.3 25%
Teleop
53.5 54%
Endgame
21.0 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.91 · Blue 1.87
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score27pts
Blue projected score98.4pts
Red win probability29%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 29%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -71.4
- Score range
- 6–119
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
238.3Season APEX294.4
14.1Auto25.3
3.6Teleop53.5
1.1Endgame21
85Consistency35
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 31 |
| teleop | 41 | 49 |
| endgame | 23 | 39 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 85 | 129 |
Result
Final score
85 – 129
Prediction correct · off by 44.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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