Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

72.03 – 145.95

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

40 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 54 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 328.3 ±13.5

3042Cobalt Catalysts

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 19.27Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3082Chicken Bot Pie

Season APEX 139Event APEX 38.28Rank 28Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4511Power Amplified

Season APEX 116.2Event APEX 14.48Rank 35Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 548.3 ±11.7

3297Full Metal Jackets

Season APEX 211.6Event APEX 62.11Rank 2Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7849Da Vinci's Creation

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 8.1Rank 19Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2847The MegaHertz

Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 75.74Rank 3Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3042, 3082, 4511

/ 100 compat

Projected

72 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 3042, 3082, 4511

Auto

23.4 32%

Teleop

34.0 47%

Endgame

15.6 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3297, 7849, 2847

/ 100 compat

Projected

146 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 3297, 7849, 2847

Auto

15.9 12%

Teleop

80.7 59%

Endgame

39.4 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.96 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score72pts

Blue projected score146pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -73.9
Score range: 51–167
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 262 vs event baseline 115.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

328.3Season APEX548.3

23.4Auto15.9

34Teleop80.7

15.6Endgame39.4

84Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	17
teleop	19	185
endgame	1	20
foul	5	0
total	40	222

Result

Final score

40 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 54 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.