Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
54 – 54
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
39 – 79
Prediction missed · off by 20 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.9 ±17
Season APEX 73.1Event APEX -Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
6044Circuit Breakers
Provisional
Season APEX 46.7Event APEX -Rank 39Record 2-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Season APEX 43.1Event APEX -Rank 36Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 83
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 239.8 ±16.5
Season APEX 51.3Event APEX -Rank 14Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94
4656Rock Solid Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 52Event APEX -Rank 30Record 4-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Season APEX 136.5Event APEX -Rank 8Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3042, 6044, 4741
50
/ 100 compatProjected
54 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 3042, 6044, 4741
Auto
16.2 30%
Teleop
27.0 50%
Endgame
10.8 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8422, 4656, 2503
50
/ 100 compatProjected
54 pts
~1.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 8422, 4656, 2503
Auto
16.2 30%
Teleop
27.0 50%
Endgame
10.8 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.36 · Blue 1.5
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score54pts
Blue projected score54pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 35–73
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
162.9Season APEX239.8
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 9 | 19 |
| teleop | 16 | 47 |
| endgame | 14 | 13 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 39 | 79 |
Result
Final score
39 – 79
Prediction missed · off by 20 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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