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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
Lake Superior Regional

Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

227.85 – 60.73

89%11%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

196 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 61.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 406.4 ±12.9
3100The Lightning Turtles
B
Season APEX 216.5Event APEX 148.47Rank 1Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4778Stormbots
C
Season APEX 123Event APEX 51.17Rank 7Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
5658STORMBOTICS
D
Season APEX 66.9Event APEX 28.21Rank 31Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 224.4 ±14.5
5690SubZero Robotics
C
Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 44.38Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
4741WingNuts
D
Season APEX 43.1Event APEX 0.99Rank 36Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 83
3883Data Bits
C
Season APEX 91.8Event APEX 15.36Rank 32Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3100, 4778, 5658
81
/ 100 compat
Projected
227.9 pts
~2.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 3100, 4778, 5658
Auto
32.7 15%
Teleop
129.2 58%
Endgame
59.4 27%
Strengths
  • · 3100 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5690, 4741, 3883
43
/ 100 compat
Projected
60.7 pts
~0.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 5690, 4741, 3883
Auto
11.8 21%
Teleop
34.8 61%
Endgame
10.0 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.32 · Blue 0.64
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score227.9pts
Blue projected score60.7pts
Red win probability89%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 50%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
167.1
Score range
40–249
Upset likelihood
11%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 348 vs event baseline 114.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

406.4Season APEX224.4
32.7Auto11.8
129.2Teleop34.8
59.4Endgame10
49Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto4142
teleop9252
endgame4858
foul150
total196152

Result

Final score

196 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 61.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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