Qualification · Qualification 62
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
159.66 – 63.18
77%23%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
192 – 51
Prediction correct · off by 22.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 463.2 ±13.5
Season APEX 136.5Event APEX 80.91Rank 8Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 72.03Rank 3Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 6.72Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 92
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 252.8 ±15.6
Season APEX 66.9Event APEX 31.46Rank 31Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 69.7Event APEX 12.83Rank 18Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Season APEX 116.2Event APEX 18.89Rank 35Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2503, 2847, 4166
78
/ 100 compatProjected
159.7 pts
~2.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 2503, 2847, 4166
Auto
24.0 16%
Teleop
76.9 51%
Endgame
50.7 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5658, 4536, 4511
43
/ 100 compatProjected
63.2 pts
~0.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 5658, 4536, 4511
Auto
27.0 42%
Teleop
21.8 34%
Endgame
15.4 24%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.07 · Blue 0.87
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score159.7pts
Blue projected score63.2pts
Red win probability77%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 96.5
- Score range
- 42–181
- Upset likelihood
- 23%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
463.2Season APEX252.8
24Auto27
76.9Teleop21.8
50.7Endgame15.4
73Consistency83
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 17 |
| teleop | 131 | 20 |
| endgame | 42 | 9 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 192 | 51 |
Result
Final score
192 – 51
Prediction correct · off by 22.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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