Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

33.47 – 72.23

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

85 – 129

Prediction correct · off by 54.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 269.2 ±15

4511Power Amplified

Season APEX 116.2Event APEX 18.38Rank 35Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

3883Data Bits

Season APEX 91.8Event APEX 13.03Rank 32Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3691RoboRaiders

Season APEX 61.2Event APEX 2.06Rank 41Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 241.6 ±14.5

4166Robostang

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX -11.19Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3130The ERRORs

Season APEX 117.1Event APEX 51.94Rank 10Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3042Cobalt Catalysts

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 31.48Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4511, 3883, 3691

/ 100 compat

Projected

33.5 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 4511, 3883, 3691

Auto

20.3 54%

Teleop

12.7 34%

Endgame

4.4 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4166, 3130, 3042

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.2 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 4166, 3130, 3042

Auto

29.0 50%

Teleop

27.4 47%

Endgame

1.7 3%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.13 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score33.5pts

Blue projected score72.2pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -38.8
Score range: 13–92
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 214 vs event baseline 111.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

269.2Season APEX241.6

20.3Auto29

12.7Teleop27.4

4.4Endgame1.7

109Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	32
teleop	28	64
endgame	31	33
foul	5	0
total	85	129

Result

Final score

85 – 129

Prediction correct · off by 54.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.