Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

63.43 – 144.71

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

80 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 20.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 157.8 ±18.8

2501Bionic Polars

Provisional

Season APEX 31.2Event APEX 17.09Rank 40Record 3-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

3294Backwoods Engineers

Provisional

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 18.61Rank 27Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

3926MPArors

Season APEX 73.5Event APEX 27.73Rank 17Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 380.5 ±12.8

8516Wired Up

Season APEX 105Event APEX 22.78Rank 34Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2503Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 136.5Event APEX 79.96Rank 8Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3082Chicken Bot Pie

Season APEX 139Event APEX 41.97Rank 28Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2501, 3294, 3926

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.4 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 2501, 3294, 3926

Auto

14.0 23%

Teleop

26.8 43%

Endgame

21.4 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 8516, 2503, 3082

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.7 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 8516, 2503, 3082

Auto

18.7 13%

Teleop

61.6 44%

Endgame

59.8 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.82 · Blue 1.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score63.4pts

Blue projected score144.7pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -81.3
Score range: 43–165
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 200 vs event baseline 109.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

157.8Season APEX380.5

14Auto18.7

26.8Teleop61.6

21.4Endgame59.8

100Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	20
teleop	27	69
endgame	29	31
foul	5	0
total	80	120

Result

Final score

80 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 20.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.