Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

76.88 – 115.96

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

10 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 63 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 208.1 ±16.5

5690SubZero Robotics

Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 43.55Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7864The Bear Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 38.9Event APEX 23.18Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

2526Crimson Robotics

Season APEX 79.7Event APEX 10.15Rank 42Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 443.2 ±12.4

5348Charger Robotics

Season APEX 173.4Event APEX 69.43Rank 4Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4511Power Amplified

Season APEX 116.2Event APEX 7.86Rank 35Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

3630Stampede

Season APEX 153.6Event APEX 38.67Rank 22Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5690, 7864, 2526

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.9 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 5690, 7864, 2526

Auto

17.3 21%

Teleop

30.9 38%

Endgame

33.5 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5348, 4511, 3630

/ 100 compat

Projected

116 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 5348, 4511, 3630

Auto

40.9 35%

Teleop

59.7 51%

Endgame

17.4 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.18 · Blue 1.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score76.9pts

Blue projected score116pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -39.1
Score range: 58–135
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 185 vs event baseline 108.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

208.1Season APEX443.2

17.3Auto40.9

30.9Teleop59.7

33.5Endgame17.4

87Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	43
teleop	0	102
endgame	0	30
foul	0	0
total	10	175

Result

Final score

10 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 63 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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