Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

322.75 – 118.29

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

261 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 45 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 554.6 ±13.1

6047Proctor Frostbyte

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 27.08Rank 33Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

2052KnightKrawler

Season APEX 267.9Event APEX 136.18Rank 2Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6907The G.O.A.T

Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 159.49Rank 1Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 313 ±11.6

2472Centurions

Season APEX 195.7Event APEX 54.6Rank 15Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8122Mechanical Mustaches

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 48.3Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2239Technocrats

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 15.39Rank 30Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6047, 2052, 6907

/ 100 compat

Projected

322.8 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 6047, 2052, 6907

Auto

81.7 26%

Teleop

179.6 57%

Endgame

52.6 17%

Strengths

· 6907 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2472, 8122, 2239

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.3 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 2472, 8122, 2239

Auto

24.8 22%

Teleop

56.5 51%

Endgame

30.5 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score322.8pts

Blue projected score118.3pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 204.5
Score range: 100–341
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 351 vs event baseline 101.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

554.6Season APEX313

81.7Auto24.8

179.6Teleop56.5

52.6Endgame30.5

0Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	18
teleop	128	24
endgame	43	38
foul	15	10
total	261	90

Result

Final score

261 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 45 pts

Match videos

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