Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

75.45 – 62.74

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

99 – 114

Prediction missed · off by 37.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 228.1 ±16.3

3102Tech-No-Tigers

Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 50.71Rank 10Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4623Flyer Robotics

Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 16.26Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 77

5275T.I.M.E.-Bots

Season APEX 77Event APEX 8.48Rank 12Record 7-3-1Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 226.3 ±15.1

7041Doomsday Dogs

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 25.09Rank 9Record 7-3-1Status establishedConfidence 79

4181Quack Attack

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 30.05Rank 19Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2129Ultraviolet

Season APEX 88Event APEX 7.6Rank 38Record 2-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3102, 4623, 5275

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.5 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 3102, 4623, 5275

Auto

25.0 37%

Teleop

27.7 41%

Endgame

15.2 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7041, 4181, 2129

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.7 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 7041, 4181, 2129

Auto

23.9 43%

Teleop

15.9 29%

Endgame

15.7 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score75.5pts

Blue projected score62.7pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 12.7
Score range: 45–93
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 213 vs event baseline 100.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

228.1Season APEX226.3

25Auto23.9

27.7Teleop15.9

15.2Endgame15.7

0Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	28
teleop	41	62
endgame	38	24
foul	0	0
total	99	114

Result

Final score

99 – 114

Prediction missed · off by 37.4 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.