Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

115.27 – 99.44

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

142 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 30.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 313 ±11.6

2472Centurions

Season APEX 195.7Event APEX 52.56Rank 15Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8122Mechanical Mustaches

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 48.2Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2239Technocrats

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 14.51Rank 30Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 230.9 ±13.9

4687Spartobots

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 40.72Rank 7Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2177The Robettes

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 39.18Rank 8Record 7-3-1Status establishedConfidence 94

3610Islanders

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 19.54Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2472, 8122, 2239

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.3 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 2472, 8122, 2239

Auto

25.2 23%

Teleop

50.4 47%

Endgame

32.4 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4687, 2177, 3610

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.4 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 4687, 2177, 3610

Auto

18.5 18%

Teleop

58.7 56%

Endgame

26.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score115.3pts

Blue projected score99.4pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 15.8
Score range: 81–133
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 207 vs event baseline 99.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

313Season APEX230.9

25.2Auto18.5

50.4Teleop58.7

32.4Endgame26.9

12Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	18
teleop	82	17
endgame	30	30
foul	5	0
total	142	65

Result

Final score

142 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 30.6 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.