Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

93.15 – 49.15

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

193 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 65.5 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 414.2 ±11.7

1622Team Spyder

Season APEX 65.3Event APEX 66.29Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4687Spartobots

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 12.29Rank 7Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6045Sabre Robotics

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 14.57Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 193.7 ±12.7

2500Herobotics

Season APEX 48.6Event APEX 12.29Rank 32Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2239Technocrats

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 15.43Rank 30Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

4226Huskies

Season APEX 89.4Event APEX 21.43Rank 35Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1622, 4687, 6045

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.2 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 1622, 4687, 6045

Auto

29.4 32%

Teleop

39.7 43%

Endgame

24.0 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2500, 2239, 4226

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.2 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 2500, 2239, 4226

Auto

12.6 26%

Teleop

24.0 49%

Endgame

12.6 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.69 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score93.2pts

Blue projected score49.2pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 44
Score range: 33–109
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 211 vs event baseline 86.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

414.2Season APEX193.7

29.4Auto12.6

39.7Teleop24

24Endgame12.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	17
teleop	157	1
endgame	18	0
foul	5	0
total	193	18

Result

Final score

193 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 65.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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