Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

201.14 – 51.32

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

198 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 2.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 417 ±12.8

6045Sabre Robotics

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 107.97Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3102Tech-No-Tigers

Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 51.64Rank 10Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2177The Robettes

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 41.53Rank 8Record 7-3-1Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 181.4 ±16.5

6132Iron Rangers

Provisional

Season APEX 14.7Event APEX 11.22Rank 37Record 3-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

3610Islanders

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 21.62Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2502Talon Robotics

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 18.48Rank 16Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6045, 3102, 2177

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.1 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 6045, 3102, 2177

Auto

37.7 20%

Teleop

119.7 63%

Endgame

34.0 18%

Strengths

· 6045 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6132, 3610, 2502

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.3 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6132, 3610, 2502

Auto

19.8 38%

Teleop

21.7 42%

Endgame

10.6 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.16 · Blue 0.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score201.1pts

Blue projected score51.3pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 149.8
Score range: 34–218
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 247 vs event baseline 95.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

417Season APEX181.4

37.7Auto19.8

119.7Teleop21.7

34Endgame10.6

0Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	14
teleop	132	20
endgame	43	15
foul	0	0
total	198	49

Result

Final score

198 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 2.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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