Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
44.38 – 44.38
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
56 – 89
Prediction missed · off by 28.1 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 187.8 ±16.9
Season APEX 47Event APEX -Rank 11Record 6-4-1Status establishedConfidence 80
Season APEX 88Event APEX -Rank 38Record 2-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 52.8Event APEX -Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 77
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 363.6 ±16.2
Season APEX 53.5Event APEX -Rank 41Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 91
11292Icebots
Provisional
Season APEX 42.2Event APEX -Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Season APEX 267.9Event APEX -Rank 2Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6758, 2129, 4623
50
/ 100 compatProjected
44.4 pts
~1.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 6758, 2129, 4623
Auto
13.3 30%
Teleop
22.2 50%
Endgame
8.9 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5278, 11292, 2052
50
/ 100 compatProjected
44.4 pts
~1.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 5278, 11292, 2052
Auto
13.3 30%
Teleop
22.2 50%
Endgame
8.9 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.29
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score44.4pts
Blue projected score44.4pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 26%, blue 24%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 28–60
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
187.8Season APEX363.6
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 27 |
| teleop | 8 | 58 |
| endgame | 27 | 4 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 56 | 89 |
Result
Final score
56 – 89
Prediction missed · off by 28.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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