Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

137.16 – 67.37

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

195 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 40.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 405.4 ±14.1

2502Talon Robotics

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 13.11Rank 16Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6045Sabre Robotics

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 102.14Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7041Doomsday Dogs

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 21.91Rank 9Record 7-3-1Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 165.5 ±15.1

3298ArrowBots

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 17.71Rank 27Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2177The Robettes

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 38.46Rank 8Record 7-3-1Status establishedConfidence 94

3212YME Stingbots

Season APEX 29.6Event APEX 11.2Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2502, 6045, 7041

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.2 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 2502, 6045, 7041

Auto

32.2 24%

Teleop

81.3 62%

Endgame

18.5 14%

Strengths

· 6045 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3298, 2177, 3212

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.4 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 3298, 2177, 3212

Auto

12.2 19%

Teleop

22.3 34%

Endgame

30.8 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.78 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score137.2pts

Blue projected score67.4pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 69.8
Score range: 50–154
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 285 vs event baseline 94.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

405.4Season APEX165.5

32.2Auto12.2

81.3Teleop22.3

18.5Endgame30.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	28
teleop	96	43
endgame	73	19
foul	0	0
total	195	90

Result

Final score

195 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 40.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.