Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

94.77 – 143.85

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

81 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 15.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 193.4 ±13.3

3102Tech-No-Tigers

Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 55.73Rank 10Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5232Talons

Season APEX 39.4Event APEX 21.19Rank 34Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2239Technocrats

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 17.85Rank 30Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 414.7 ±11.7

5913Patriotics

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 112.77Rank 5Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3610Islanders

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 30.85Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2169KING TeC

Season APEX 117Event APEX 0.23Rank 14Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3102, 5232, 2239

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.8 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 3102, 5232, 2239

Auto

23.8 25%

Teleop

56.4 59%

Endgame

15.7 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5913, 3610, 2169

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.9 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 5913, 3610, 2169

Auto

34.8 24%

Teleop

89.9 61%

Endgame

22.1 15%

Strengths

· 5913 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.99 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score94.8pts

Blue projected score143.9pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -49.1
Score range: 78–161
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 208 vs event baseline 93.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

193.4Season APEX414.7

23.8Auto34.8

56.4Teleop89.9

15.7Endgame22.1

11Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	60
teleop	18	64
endgame	12	3
foul	30	0
total	81	127

Result

Final score

81 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 15.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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