Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

076.5

23%77%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

2948

Prediction correct · off by 28.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 118.7 ±16.5
Season APEX 39.4Event APEX -5.48Rank 34Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 55Event APEX -20.95Rank 42Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 94
5720Jagobotics
Provisional
Season APEX 24.3Event APEX 5.29Rank 22Record 6-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 184.8 ±15.1
Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 54.12Rank 18Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 10.55Rank 19Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 11.83Rank 33Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5232, 2227, 5720
5
/ 100 compat
Projected
-21.1 pts
~0.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 5232, 2227, 5720
Auto
11.4 0%
Teleop
-29.2 100%
Endgame
-3.0 14%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2574, 4181, 6047
52
/ 100 compat
Projected
76.5 pts
~1.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 2574, 4181, 6047
Auto
31.9 42%
Teleop
29.9 39%
Endgame
14.5 19%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.71 · Blue 1.78
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score-21.1pts
Blue projected score76.5pts
Red win probability23%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 21%, blue 19%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-76.5
Score range
-1794
Upset likelihood
23%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 77 vs event baseline 91.8.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

118.7Season APEX184.8
11.4Auto31.9
-29.2Teleop29.9
-3Endgame14.5
114Consistency116

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1316
teleop525
endgame117
foul00
total2948

Result

Final score

2948

Prediction correct · off by 28.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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