Qualification · Qualification 39
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 76.5
23%77%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
29 – 48
Prediction correct · off by 28.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 118.7 ±16.5
Season APEX 39.4Event APEX -5.48Rank 34Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 55Event APEX -20.95Rank 42Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 94
5720Jagobotics
Provisional
Season APEX 24.3Event APEX 5.29Rank 22Record 6-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 184.8 ±15.1
Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 54.12Rank 18Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 10.55Rank 19Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 11.83Rank 33Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5232, 2227, 5720
5
/ 100 compatProjected
-21.1 pts
~0.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 5232, 2227, 5720
Auto
11.4 0%
Teleop
-29.2 100%
Endgame
-3.0 14%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2574, 4181, 6047
52
/ 100 compatProjected
76.5 pts
~1.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 2574, 4181, 6047
Auto
31.9 42%
Teleop
29.9 39%
Endgame
14.5 19%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.71 · Blue 1.78
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score-21.1pts
Blue projected score76.5pts
Red win probability23%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 21%, blue 19%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -76.5
- Score range
- -17–94
- Upset likelihood
- 23%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
118.7Season APEX184.8
11.4Auto31.9
-29.2Teleop29.9
-3Endgame14.5
114Consistency116
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 16 |
| teleop | 5 | 25 |
| endgame | 11 | 7 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 29 | 48 |
Result
Final score
29 – 48
Prediction correct · off by 28.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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