Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

69.2 – 0

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

138 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 53.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 411.6 ±12.2

2129Ultraviolet

Season APEX 88Event APEX 10.74Rank 38Record 2-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

2239Technocrats

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 4.94Rank 30Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

2052KnightKrawler

Season APEX 267.9Event APEX 53.52Rank 2Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 114.7 ±17.5

2227Tigers

Season APEX 55Event APEX -31.43Rank 42Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 94

3054IceStorm

Provisional

Season APEX 30.1Event APEX 1.04Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

3212YME Stingbots

Season APEX 29.6Event APEX -7.96Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2129, 2239, 2052

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.2 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 2129, 2239, 2052

Auto

30.0 45%

Teleop

35.8 54%

Endgame

0.4 1%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2227, 3054, 3212

/ 100 compat

Projected

-38.3 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 2227, 3054, 3212

Auto

-4.5 13%

Teleop

-25.9 76%

Endgame

-3.5 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.91 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score69.2pts

Blue projected score-38.3pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 69.2
Score range: -16–85
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 177 vs event baseline 89.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

411.6Season APEX114.7

30Auto-4.5

35.8Teleop-25.9

0.4Endgame-3.5

64Consistency134

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	20
teleop	76	12
endgame	26	7
foul	0	0
total	138	39

Result

Final score

138 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 53.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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