Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

48.66 – 114.63

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

33 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 32.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 180.6 ±15.7

6047Proctor Frostbyte

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 5.11Rank 33Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

2512Duluth East Daredevils

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 26.84Rank 39Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 91

3298ArrowBots

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 16.71Rank 27Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 342.8 ±13.9

3102Tech-No-Tigers

Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 42.25Rank 10Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10711FORMSHOP

Season APEX 144.1Event APEX 29.57Rank 20Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4687Spartobots

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 42.81Rank 7Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6047, 2512, 3298

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.7 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6047, 2512, 3298

Auto

14.9 32%

Teleop

-1.4 0%

Endgame

33.4 71%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3102, 10711, 4687

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.6 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 3102, 10711, 4687

Auto

18.9 17%

Teleop

81.1 72%

Endgame

12.6 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.82 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score48.7pts

Blue projected score114.6pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -66
Score range: 33–131
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 197 vs event baseline 90.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

180.6Season APEX342.8

14.9Auto18.9

-1.4Teleop81.1

33.4Endgame12.6

76Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	33
teleop	12	105
endgame	6	26
foul	0	0
total	33	164

Result

Final score

33 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 32.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.