Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

73.92 – 74.16

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

43 – 37

Prediction missed · off by 34 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 193.1 ±15.1

6047Proctor Frostbyte

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 27.53Rank 33Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

4687Spartobots

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 37.09Rank 7Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2500Herobotics

Season APEX 48.6Event APEX 9.3Rank 32Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 149.1 ±18.8

10474Turcia Machina

Provisional

Season APEX 20.7Event APEX 6.17Rank 40Record 2-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

3054IceStorm

Provisional

Season APEX 30.1Event APEX 13.21Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

3102Tech-No-Tigers

Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 54.78Rank 10Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6047, 4687, 2500

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.9 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 6047, 4687, 2500

Auto

19.1 26%

Teleop

37.6 51%

Endgame

17.2 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10474, 3054, 3102

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.2 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 10474, 3054, 3102

Auto

14.9 21%

Teleop

45.2 64%

Endgame

10.2 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.22 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score73.9pts

Blue projected score74.2pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.2
Score range: 55–93
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 80 vs event baseline 108.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

193.1Season APEX149.1

19.1Auto14.9

37.6Teleop45.2

17.2Endgame10.2

0Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	16
teleop	16	21
endgame	13	0
foul	0	0
total	43	37

Result

Final score

43 – 37

Prediction missed · off by 34 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.