Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 213.11

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

14 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 52.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 202.8 ±15.1

2169KING TeC

Season APEX 117Event APEX -11.69Rank 14Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3054IceStorm

Provisional

Season APEX 30.1Event APEX 2.6Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

2239Technocrats

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 5.62Rank 30Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 373.3 ±15.6

5720Jagobotics

Provisional

Season APEX 24.3Event APEX 39.63Rank 22Record 6-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

6907The G.O.A.T

Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 147.44Rank 1Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2502Talon Robotics

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 26.04Rank 16Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2169, 3054, 2239

/ 100 compat

Projected

-3.5 pts

~0.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 2169, 3054, 2239

Auto

5.2 0%

Teleop

-11.3 100%

Endgame

-0.1 2%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5720, 6907, 2502

/ 100 compat

Projected

213.1 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 5720, 6907, 2502

Auto

45.8 22%

Teleop

126.6 59%

Endgame

40.6 19%

Strengths

· 6907 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.35 · Blue 2.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score-3.5pts

Blue projected score213.1pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -213.1
Score range: -15–228
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 137 vs event baseline 85.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

202.8Season APEX373.3

5.2Auto45.8

-11.3Teleop126.6

-0.1Endgame40.6

200Consistency129

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	64
teleop	0	46
endgame	0	8
foul	0	5
total	14	123

Result

Final score

14 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 52.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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