Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 60.09

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 23.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 137 ±15.7

6047Proctor Frostbyte

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 2.85Rank 33Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

5232Talons

Season APEX 39.4Event APEX -8.38Rank 34Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

5278Los Clasicos

Season APEX 53.5Event APEX -3.47Rank 41Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 280.6 ±16.5

2502Talon Robotics

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 17.98Rank 16Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

3054IceStorm

Provisional

Season APEX 30.1Event APEX 9.22Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

10711FORMSHOP

Season APEX 144.1Event APEX 32.89Rank 20Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6047, 5232, 5278

/ 100 compat

Projected

-9 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6047, 5232, 5278

Auto

2.1 0%

Teleop

-9.6 100%

Endgame

3.7 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2502, 3054, 10711

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.1 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 2502, 3054, 10711

Auto

-2.0 0%

Teleop

39.8 70%

Endgame

19.2 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.78 · Blue 1.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score-9pts

Blue projected score60.1pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -60.1
Score range: -17–77
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 87 vs event baseline 92.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

137Season APEX280.6

2.1Auto-2

-9.6Teleop39.8

3.7Endgame19.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	14
teleop	18	35
endgame	9	1
foul	0	0
total	37	50

Result

Final score

37 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 23.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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